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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Bage vs Brasil de Pelotas 100,000 times. Brasil de Pelotas won 40,740 of them (40.7%), the draw came up 34.8% of the time and Bage won 24.5%. No single score is common: 0-0 is the likeliest at 18.3%, while the likeliest Brasil de Pelotas win is 0-1 (16.5%). Both teams score in 34.3% of simulations.
Full time 4-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Bage winning 24.5%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Bage win | 24.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 34.8% |
| Brasil de Pelotas win | 40.7% |
| Most likely score | 0-0 (18.3%) |
| Expected goals | 0.73 – 1.03 |
| Both teams to score | 34.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 53.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 26.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 10.5% |
| Bage score first | 30.6% |
| Brasil de Pelotas score first | 50.8% |
| Bage clean sheet | 35.9% |
| Brasil de Pelotas clean sheet | 48.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420601224 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Brasil de Pelotas are favourites. They win 40.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 34.8% for the draw and 24.5% for Bage. Including the draw, Brasil de Pelotas avoid defeat 75.5% of the time.
0-0, which came up in 18.3% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (16.5%) and 1-1 (13.8%). The likeliest Brasil de Pelotas win is 0-1 (16.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 34.3% of simulations. Bage keep a clean sheet 35.9% of the time and Brasil de Pelotas 48.2%.
The simulations average 1.77 goals: 0.73 for Bage and 1.03 for Brasil de Pelotas. Over 1.5 goals lands 53.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 26.1% and over 3.5 goals 10.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.