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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Banga vs Žalgiris 100,000 times. Žalgiris won 52,206 of them (52.2%), the draw came up 25.2% of the time and Banga won 22.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.9%, while the likeliest Žalgiris win is 0-1 (10.3%). Both teams score in 53.2% of simulations.
This match has kicked off. These are the numbers from the last simulation before kick-off.
| Banga win | 22.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.2% |
| Žalgiris win | 52.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.04 – 1.71 |
| Both teams to score | 53.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.8% |
| Banga score first | 36.6% |
| Žalgiris score first | 56.1% |
| Banga clean sheet | 18.5% |
| Žalgiris clean sheet | 35.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420566164 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Žalgiris are favourites. They win 52.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.2% for the draw and 22.7% for Banga. Including the draw, Žalgiris avoid defeat 77.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.9% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest Žalgiris win is 0-1 (10.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.2% of simulations. Banga keep a clean sheet 18.5% of the time and Žalgiris 35.5%.
The simulations average 2.75 goals: 1.04 for Banga and 1.71 for Žalgiris. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 51.7% and over 3.5 goals 29.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.