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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Barcelona W vs Arsenal W 100,000 times. Barcelona W won 81,934 of them (81.9%), the draw came up 11.2% of the time and Arsenal W won 6.8%. The most likely score is 3-0 (9.1%), and both teams score in 55.9% of simulations.
| Barcelona W win | 81.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 11.2% |
| Arsenal W win | 6.8% |
| Most likely score | 3-0 (9.1%) |
| Expected goals | 3.24 – 0.88 |
| Both teams to score | 55.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 58.5% |
| Barcelona W score first | 76.7% |
| Arsenal W score first | 21.5% |
| Barcelona W clean sheet | 41.8% |
| Arsenal W clean sheet | 4.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420710572 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Barcelona W are favourites. They win 81.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 11.2% for the draw and 6.8% for Arsenal W. Including the draw, Barcelona W avoid defeat 93.2% of the time.
3-0, which came up in 9.1% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (8.6%) and 3-1 (7.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 55.9% of simulations. Barcelona W keep a clean sheet 41.8% of the time and Arsenal W 4.3%.
The simulations average 4.12 goals: 3.24 for Barcelona W and 0.88 for Arsenal W. Over 1.5 goals lands 91.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 77.2% and over 3.5 goals 58.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.