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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Barnsley vs Aldershot Town 100,000 times. Barnsley won 74,330 of them (74.3%), the draw came up 15.4% of the time and Aldershot Town won 10.3%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10%), and both teams score in 54.8% of simulations.
| Barnsley win | 74.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 15.4% |
| Aldershot Town win | 10.3% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (10%) |
| Expected goals | 2.67 – 0.90 |
| Both teams to score | 54.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 47.6% |
| Barnsley score first | 67.6% |
| Aldershot Town score first | 29.3% |
| Barnsley clean sheet | 41.1% |
| Aldershot Town clean sheet | 7.4% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420739731 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Barnsley are favourites. They win 74.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 15.4% for the draw and 10.3% for Aldershot Town. Including the draw, Barnsley avoid defeat 89.7% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 10% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.8%) and 3-0 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.8% of simulations. Barnsley keep a clean sheet 41.1% of the time and Aldershot Town 7.4%.
The simulations average 3.57 goals: 2.67 for Barnsley and 0.90 for Aldershot Town. Over 1.5 goals lands 86.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 68.6% and over 3.5 goals 47.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.