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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao West Coast 100,000 times. Beijing Guoan won 71,597 of them (71.6%), the draw came up 16.6% of the time and Qingdao West Coast won 11.8%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10.2%), and both teams score in 54.6% of simulations.
Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Beijing Guoan winning 71.6% and gave this exact score 8.3%.
| Beijing Guoan win | 71.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 16.6% |
| Qingdao West Coast win | 11.8% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (10.2%) |
| Expected goals | 2.51 – 0.91 |
| Both teams to score | 54.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 44.4% |
| Beijing Guoan score first | 73% |
| Qingdao West Coast score first | 23.7% |
| Beijing Guoan clean sheet | 40.5% |
| Qingdao West Coast clean sheet | 8.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420519280 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Beijing Guoan are favourites. They win 71.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 16.6% for the draw and 11.8% for Qingdao West Coast. Including the draw, Beijing Guoan avoid defeat 88.2% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 10.2% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.2%) and 3-0 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.6% of simulations. Beijing Guoan keep a clean sheet 40.5% of the time and Qingdao West Coast 8.6%.
The simulations average 3.42 goals: 2.51 for Beijing Guoan and 0.91 for Qingdao West Coast. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65.9% and over 3.5 goals 44.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.