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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Beitar / Riga Mariners vs JDFS Alberts 100,000 times. Beitar / Riga Mariners won 58,086 of them (58.1%), the draw came up 18.8% of the time and JDFS Alberts won 23.1%. The most likely score is 2-1 (8.5%), and both teams score in 70.1% of simulations.
Full time 3-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Beitar / Riga Mariners winning 58.1% and gave this exact score 6.9%.
| Beitar / Riga Mariners win | 58.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 18.8% |
| JDFS Alberts win | 23.1% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (8.5%) |
| Expected goals | 2.43 – 1.49 |
| Both teams to score | 70.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 55% |
| Beitar / Riga Mariners score first | 59.8% |
| JDFS Alberts score first | 38.1% |
| Beitar / Riga Mariners clean sheet | 22.8% |
| JDFS Alberts clean sheet | 9.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420532784 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Beitar / Riga Mariners are favourites. They win 58.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18.8% for the draw and 23.1% for JDFS Alberts. Including the draw, Beitar / Riga Mariners avoid defeat 76.9% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 8.5% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (7.2%) and 3-1 (6.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 70.1% of simulations. Beitar / Riga Mariners keep a clean sheet 22.8% of the time and JDFS Alberts 9.2%.
The simulations average 3.93 goals: 2.43 for Beitar / Riga Mariners and 1.49 for JDFS Alberts. Over 1.5 goals lands 89.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 74.7% and over 3.5 goals 55%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.