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Ligue 1 · 100,000 simulations

Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien prediction

We simulated Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien 100,000 times. Ben Guerdane won 36,959 of them (37%), the draw came up 34.2% of the time and Stade Tunisien won 28.9%. No single score is common: 0-0 is the likeliest at 16.8%, while the likeliest Ben Guerdane win is 1-0 (14.6%). Both teams score in 37.2% of simulations.

Ben Guerdane badge
Ben Guerdane Stade de Ben Guerdane
1–0 Full time
Stade Tunisien badge
Stade Tunisien Away
37% 36,959 wins
34.2% Draw
28.9% 28,880 wins
Expected goals
1.01 – 0.86
Likeliest score
0-0 16.8% Top Ben Guerdane win: 1-0 14.6%
Both score
37.2%
Over 2.5
28.6%

Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Ben Guerdane winning 37% and gave this exact score 14.6%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Stade de Ben Guerdane, Tunisia
Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien live score, stats & lineups

Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien in numbers 100,000 simulations · Ligue 1 · Friday 23 October, 14:30

Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien simulation probabilities
Ben Guerdane win37%
Draw34.2%
Stade Tunisien win28.9%
Most likely score0-0 (16.8%)
Expected goals1.01 – 0.86
Both teams to score37.2%
Over 1.5 goals56.4%
Over 2.5 goals28.6%
Over 3.5 goals12%
Ben Guerdane score first47%
Stade Tunisien score first35.9%
Ben Guerdane clean sheet42.8%
Stade Tunisien clean sheet36.9%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420668764
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien prediction FAQs

Who will win Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien?

Ben Guerdane are favourites. They win 37% of our 100,000 simulations, against 34.2% for the draw and 28.9% for Stade Tunisien. Including the draw, Ben Guerdane avoid defeat 71.1% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien?

0-0, which came up in 16.8% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (14.6%) and 1-1 (14.2%). The likeliest Ben Guerdane win is 1-0 (14.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien?

Both teams score in 37.2% of simulations. Ben Guerdane keep a clean sheet 42.8% of the time and Stade Tunisien 36.9%.

How many goals will there be in Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien?

The simulations average 1.86 goals: 1.01 for Ben Guerdane and 0.86 for Stade Tunisien. Over 1.5 goals lands 56.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 28.6% and over 3.5 goals 12%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.