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EFL Trophy · 100,000 simulations

Blackpool vs Crewe Alexandra prediction

We simulated Blackpool vs Crewe Alexandra 100,000 times. Blackpool won 63,053 of them (63.1%), the draw came up 18.7% of the time and Crewe Alexandra won 18.3%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.6%), and both teams score in 57.9% of simulations.

Blackpool badge
Blackpool Bloomfield Road
2–2 Full time
Crewe Alexandra badge
Crewe Alexandra Away
63.1% 63,053 wins
18.7% Draw
18.3% 18,263 wins
Expected goals
2.21 – 1.08
Likeliest score
2-1 9.6%
Both score
57.9%
Over 2.5
63.5%

Full time 2-2. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 18.7% and gave this exact score 5.2%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Steven Copeland Bloomfield Road, Blackpool
Blackpool vs Crewe Alexandra live score, stats & lineups

Blackpool vs Crewe Alexandra in numbers 100,000 simulations · EFL Trophy · Tuesday 6 October, 19:00

Blackpool vs Crewe Alexandra simulation probabilities
Blackpool win63.1%
Draw18.7%
Crewe Alexandra win18.3%
Most likely score2-1 (9.6%)
Expected goals2.21 – 1.08
Both teams to score57.9%
Over 1.5 goals83.2%
Over 2.5 goals63.5%
Over 3.5 goals41.6%
Blackpool score first62.1%
Crewe Alexandra score first34.5%
Blackpool clean sheet34.2%
Crewe Alexandra clean sheet11.4%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420657193
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Blackpool vs Crewe Alexandra prediction FAQs

Who will win Blackpool vs Crewe Alexandra?

Blackpool are favourites. They win 63.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18.7% for the draw and 18.3% for Crewe Alexandra. Including the draw, Blackpool avoid defeat 81.7% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Blackpool vs Crewe Alexandra?

2-1, which came up in 9.6% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (9%) and 1-0 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Blackpool vs Crewe Alexandra?

Both teams score in 57.9% of simulations. Blackpool keep a clean sheet 34.2% of the time and Crewe Alexandra 11.4%.

How many goals will there be in Blackpool vs Crewe Alexandra?

The simulations average 3.29 goals: 2.21 for Blackpool and 1.08 for Crewe Alexandra. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63.5% and over 3.5 goals 41.6%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.