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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Blumenau vs Marcílio Dias 100,000 times. Marcílio Dias won 43,863 of them (43.9%), the draw came up 28% of the time and Blumenau won 28.1%. The most likely score is 0-1 (13.4%), and both teams score in 44.9% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 28% and gave this exact score 12.9%.
| Blumenau win | 28.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28% |
| Marcílio Dias win | 43.9% |
| Most likely score | 0-1 (13.4%) |
| Expected goals | 0.98 – 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | 44.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 19.7% |
| Blumenau score first | 32.4% |
| Marcílio Dias score first | 57.1% |
| Blumenau clean sheet | 27.6% |
| Marcílio Dias clean sheet | 37.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420673543 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Marcílio Dias are favourites. They win 43.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28% for the draw and 28.1% for Blumenau. Including the draw, Marcílio Dias avoid defeat 71.9% of the time.
0-1, which came up in 13.4% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (12.9%) and 0-0 (10.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 44.9% of simulations. Blumenau keep a clean sheet 27.6% of the time and Marcílio Dias 37.9%.
The simulations average 2.27 goals: 0.98 for Blumenau and 1.30 for Marcílio Dias. Over 1.5 goals lands 66.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 39.7% and over 3.5 goals 19.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.