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Copa Santa Catarina · 100,000 simulations

Blumenau vs Metropolitano prediction

We simulated Blumenau vs Metropolitano 100,000 times. Blumenau won 48,156 of them (48.2%), the draw came up 26.5% of the time and Metropolitano won 25.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.3%, while the likeliest Blumenau win is 2-1 (9.4%). Both teams score in 59.6% of simulations.

Blumenau badge
Blumenau Estádio Ervin Blaese
0–1 Full time
Metropolitano badge
Metropolitano Away
48.2% 48,156 wins
26.5% Draw
25.4% 25,358 wins
Expected goals
1.76 – 1.23
Likeliest score
1-1 12.3% Top Blumenau win: 2-1 9.4%
Both score
59.6%
Over 2.5
57.2%

Full time 0-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Metropolitano winning 25.4% and gave this exact score 4.7%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Estádio Ervin Blaese, Brazil
Blumenau vs Metropolitano live score, stats & lineups

Blumenau vs Metropolitano in numbers 100,000 simulations · Copa Santa Catarina · Saturday 19 September, 21:00

Blumenau vs Metropolitano simulation probabilities
Blumenau win48.2%
Draw26.5%
Metropolitano win25.4%
Most likely score1-1 (12.3%)
Expected goals1.76 – 1.23
Both teams to score59.6%
Over 1.5 goals81.1%
Over 2.5 goals57.2%
Over 3.5 goals35.1%
Blumenau score first52.2%
Metropolitano score first41.1%
Blumenau clean sheet29.6%
Metropolitano clean sheet17.6%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420658133
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Blumenau vs Metropolitano prediction FAQs

Who will win Blumenau vs Metropolitano?

Blumenau are favourites. They win 48.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.5% for the draw and 25.4% for Metropolitano. Including the draw, Blumenau avoid defeat 74.6% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Blumenau vs Metropolitano?

1-1, which came up in 12.3% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Blumenau win is 2-1 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Blumenau vs Metropolitano?

Both teams score in 59.6% of simulations. Blumenau keep a clean sheet 29.6% of the time and Metropolitano 17.6%.

How many goals will there be in Blumenau vs Metropolitano?

The simulations average 2.99 goals: 1.76 for Blumenau and 1.23 for Metropolitano. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.2% and over 3.5 goals 35.1%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.