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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Boca Juniors W vs Independiente W 100,000 times. Boca Juniors W won 76,172 of them (76.2%), the draw came up 18.4% of the time and Independiente W won 5.5%. The most likely score is 2-0 (18%), and both teams score in 28.9% of simulations.
Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Boca Juniors W winning 76.2% and gave this exact score 7.1%.
| Boca Juniors W win | 76.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 18.4% |
| Independiente W win | 5.5% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (18%) |
| Expected goals | 2.07 – 0.40 |
| Both teams to score | 28.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 23.7% |
| Boca Juniors W score first | 76.6% |
| Independiente W score first | 13.9% |
| Boca Juniors W clean sheet | 67.5% |
| Independiente W clean sheet | 13% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420720443 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Boca Juniors W are favourites. They win 76.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18.4% for the draw and 5.5% for Independiente W. Including the draw, Boca Juniors W avoid defeat 94.5% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 18% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (17.1%) and 3-0 (12.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 28.9% of simulations. Boca Juniors W keep a clean sheet 67.5% of the time and Independiente W 13%.
The simulations average 2.47 goals: 2.07 for Boca Juniors W and 0.40 for Independiente W. Over 1.5 goals lands 70.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 44.6% and over 3.5 goals 23.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.