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  1. Simulations
  2. Boca Unidos vs Defensores Pto. Vilelas
Torneo Federal A · 100,000 simulations

Boca Unidos vs Defensores Pto. Vilelas prediction

We simulated Boca Unidos vs Defensores Pto. Vilelas 100,000 times. Boca Unidos won 63,111 of them (63.1%), the draw came up 22.3% of the time and Defensores Pto. Vilelas won 14.6%. The most likely score is 2-0 (11.8%), and both teams score in 48.3% of simulations.

Boca Unidos badge
Boca Unidos Estadio José Antonio Romero Feris
3–3 Full time
Defensores Pto. Vilelas badge
Defensores Pto. Vilelas Away
63.1% 63,111 wins
22.3% Draw
14.6% 14,611 wins
Expected goals
1.96 – 0.82
Likeliest score
2-0 11.8%
Both score
48.3%
Over 2.5
52.3%

Full time 3-3. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 22.3%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Jonathan Correa Estadio José Antonio Romero Feris, Corrientes
Boca Unidos vs Defensores Pto. Vilelas live score, stats & lineups

Boca Unidos vs Defensores Pto. Vilelas in numbers 100,000 simulations · Torneo Federal A · Saturday 19 September, 19:30

Boca Unidos vs Defensores Pto. Vilelas simulation probabilities
Boca Unidos win63.1%
Draw22.3%
Defensores Pto. Vilelas win14.6%
Most likely score2-0 (11.8%)
Expected goals1.96 – 0.82
Both teams to score48.3%
Over 1.5 goals76.7%
Over 2.5 goals52.3%
Over 3.5 goals30.4%
Boca Unidos score first65.6%
Defensores Pto. Vilelas score first27.5%
Boca Unidos clean sheet44.2%
Defensores Pto. Vilelas clean sheet14.6%
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# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
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Boca Unidos vs Defensores Pto. Vilelas prediction FAQs

Who will win Boca Unidos vs Defensores Pto. Vilelas?

Boca Unidos are favourites. They win 63.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.3% for the draw and 14.6% for Defensores Pto. Vilelas. Including the draw, Boca Unidos avoid defeat 85.4% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Boca Unidos vs Defensores Pto. Vilelas?

2-0, which came up in 11.8% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11.6%) and 1-1 (10.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Boca Unidos vs Defensores Pto. Vilelas?

Both teams score in 48.3% of simulations. Boca Unidos keep a clean sheet 44.2% of the time and Defensores Pto. Vilelas 14.6%.

How many goals will there be in Boca Unidos vs Defensores Pto. Vilelas?

The simulations average 2.78 goals: 1.96 for Boca Unidos and 0.82 for Defensores Pto. Vilelas. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52.3% and over 3.5 goals 30.4%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.