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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Bolton Wanderers vs Everton 100,000 times. Everton won 44,078 of them (44.1%), the draw came up 25.8% of the time and Bolton Wanderers won 30.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.9%, while the likeliest Everton win is 1-2 (9%). Both teams score in 61% of simulations.
Full time 0-0. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 25.8% and gave this exact score 6.1%.
| Bolton Wanderers win | 30.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.8% |
| Everton win | 44.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.36 – 1.68 |
| Both teams to score | 61% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.2% |
| Bolton Wanderers score first | 42.6% |
| Everton score first | 51.1% |
| Bolton Wanderers clean sheet | 19% |
| Everton clean sheet | 26.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420571868 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Everton are favourites. They win 44.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.8% for the draw and 30.1% for Bolton Wanderers. Including the draw, Everton avoid defeat 69.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.9% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9%) and 2-1 (7.3%). The likeliest Everton win is 1-2 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61% of simulations. Bolton Wanderers keep a clean sheet 19% of the time and Everton 26.1%.
The simulations average 3.04 goals: 1.36 for Bolton Wanderers and 1.68 for Everton. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58.4% and over 3.5 goals 36.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.