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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar 100,000 times. Bosnia and Herzegovina won 67,708 of them (67.7%), the draw came up 18.9% of the time and Qatar won 13.4%. The most likely score is 2-0 (12%), and both teams score in 47.7% of simulations.
Full time 3-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Bosnia and Herzegovina winning 67.7% and gave this exact score 6.7%.
| Bosnia and Herzegovina win | 67.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 18.9% |
| Qatar win | 13.4% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (12%) |
| Expected goals | 2.12 – 0.80 |
| Both teams to score | 47.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.4% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina score first | 73% |
| Qatar score first | 22% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina clean sheet | 45.2% |
| Qatar clean sheet | 12.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420562848 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Bosnia and Herzegovina are favourites. They win 67.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18.9% for the draw and 13.4% for Qatar. Including the draw, Bosnia and Herzegovina avoid defeat 86.6% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 12% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.7% of simulations. Bosnia and Herzegovina keep a clean sheet 45.2% of the time and Qatar 12.5%.
The simulations average 2.92 goals: 2.12 for Bosnia and Herzegovina and 0.80 for Qatar. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 55.5% and over 3.5 goals 33.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.