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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Botafogo U20 vs Palmeiras U20 100,000 times. Palmeiras U20 won 48,200 of them (48.2%), the draw came up 24.8% of the time and Botafogo U20 won 27%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.4%, while the likeliest Palmeiras U20 win is 1-2 (9.3%). Both teams score in 60.3% of simulations.
Full time 2-4. Before kick-off the simulations had Palmeiras U20 winning 48.2%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Botafogo U20 win | 27% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.8% |
| Palmeiras U20 win | 48.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.28 – 1.78 |
| Both teams to score | 60.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.7% |
| Botafogo U20 score first | 44.2% |
| Palmeiras U20 score first | 50.2% |
| Botafogo U20 clean sheet | 17.3% |
| Palmeiras U20 clean sheet | 28.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420733116 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Palmeiras U20 are favourites. They win 48.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.8% for the draw and 27% for Botafogo U20. Including the draw, Palmeiras U20 avoid defeat 73% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.4% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-1 (7.6%). The likeliest Palmeiras U20 win is 1-2 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.3% of simulations. Botafogo U20 keep a clean sheet 17.3% of the time and Palmeiras U20 28.1%.
The simulations average 3.06 goals: 1.28 for Botafogo U20 and 1.78 for Palmeiras U20. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58.8% and over 3.5 goals 36.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.