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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Bulgaria U21 vs Scotland U21 100,000 times. Bulgaria U21 won 37,854 of them (37.9%), the draw came up 28% of the time and Scotland U21 won 34.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.2%, while the likeliest Bulgaria U21 win is 1-0 (10.1%). Both teams score in 50.9% of simulations.
Full time 0-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Scotland U21 winning 34.2% and gave this exact score 6%.
| Bulgaria U21 win | 37.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28% |
| Scotland U21 win | 34.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.29 – 1.21 |
| Both teams to score | 50.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 24.3% |
| Bulgaria U21 score first | 48.2% |
| Scotland U21 score first | 42.8% |
| Bulgaria U21 clean sheet | 30.2% |
| Scotland U21 clean sheet | 27.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/314882375 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Bulgaria U21 are favourites. They win 37.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28% for the draw and 34.2% for Scotland U21. Including the draw, Bulgaria U21 avoid defeat 65.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.2% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.1%) and 0-1 (9.5%). The likeliest Bulgaria U21 win is 1-0 (10.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 50.9% of simulations. Bulgaria U21 keep a clean sheet 30.2% of the time and Scotland U21 27.9%.
The simulations average 2.50 goals: 1.29 for Bulgaria U21 and 1.21 for Scotland U21. Over 1.5 goals lands 71.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 45.5% and over 3.5 goals 24.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.