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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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UPDATE
Bet Builder Page Enhancements Live Now
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VIDEO
Predictions Show Episode Featuring Bet Builder
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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Burnley U21 vs Manchester United U21 100,000 times. Manchester United U21 won 48,511 of them (48.5%), the draw came up 20.8% of the time and Burnley U21 won 30.7%. The most likely score is 1-2 (8.4%), and both teams score in 70.3% of simulations.
This match has kicked off. These are the numbers from the last simulation before kick-off.
| Burnley U21 win | 30.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.8% |
| Manchester United U21 win | 48.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-2 (8.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.65 – 2.11 |
| Both teams to score | 70.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 51.6% |
| Burnley U21 score first | 43.9% |
| Manchester United U21 score first | 53.6% |
| Burnley U21 clean sheet | 12.6% |
| Manchester United U21 clean sheet | 19.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420663470 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Manchester United U21 are favourites. They win 48.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.8% for the draw and 30.7% for Burnley U21. Including the draw, Manchester United U21 avoid defeat 69.3% of the time.
1-2, which came up in 8.4% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (8.1%) and 2-2 (6.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 70.3% of simulations. Burnley U21 keep a clean sheet 12.6% of the time and Manchester United U21 19.6%.
The simulations average 3.76 goals: 1.65 for Burnley U21 and 2.11 for Manchester United U21. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 72% and over 3.5 goals 51.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.