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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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UPDATE
Bet Builder Page Enhancements Live Now
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VIDEO
Predictions Show Episode Featuring Bet Builder
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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds 100,000 times. Burton Albion won 89,412 of them (89.4%), the draw came up 7.5% of the time and AFC Rushden & Diamonds won 3.1%. The most likely score is 3-0 (13.5%), and both teams score in 35.8% of simulations.
| Burton Albion win | 89.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 7.5% |
| AFC Rushden & Diamonds win | 3.1% |
| Most likely score | 3-0 (13.5%) |
| Expected goals | 3.29 – 0.47 |
| Both teams to score | 35.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 51.5% |
| Burton Albion score first | 83.9% |
| AFC Rushden & Diamonds score first | 13.7% |
| Burton Albion clean sheet | 62.5% |
| AFC Rushden & Diamonds clean sheet | 4.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420739309 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Burton Albion are favourites. They win 89.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 7.5% for the draw and 3.1% for AFC Rushden & Diamonds. Including the draw, Burton Albion avoid defeat 96.9% of the time.
3-0, which came up in 13.5% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (12.6%) and 4-0 (11.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 35.8% of simulations. Burton Albion keep a clean sheet 62.5% of the time and AFC Rushden & Diamonds 4.1%.
The simulations average 3.76 goals: 3.29 for Burton Albion and 0.47 for AFC Rushden & Diamonds. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 71.8% and over 3.5 goals 51.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.