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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Burton Albion vs Notts County 100,000 times. Burton Albion won 42,411 of them (42.4%), the draw came up 24.4% of the time and Notts County won 33.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.3%, while the likeliest Burton Albion win is 2-1 (8.8%). Both teams score in 58.1% of simulations.
| Burton Albion win | 42.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.4% |
| Notts County win | 33.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.56 – 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | 58.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.5% |
| Burton Albion score first | 51.8% |
| Notts County score first | 42.9% |
| Burton Albion clean sheet | 26.2% |
| Notts County clean sheet | 21.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420657219 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Burton Albion are favourites. They win 42.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.4% for the draw and 33.2% for Notts County. Including the draw, Burton Albion avoid defeat 66.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.3% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.8%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Burton Albion win is 2-1 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.1% of simulations. Burton Albion keep a clean sheet 26.2% of the time and Notts County 21.3%.
The simulations average 2.92 goals: 1.56 for Burton Albion and 1.35 for Notts County. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 55.6% and over 3.5 goals 33.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.