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Primera Division RFEF: Group 1 · 100,000 simulations

Cacereño vs Talavera CF prediction

We simulated Cacereño vs Talavera CF 100,000 times. Talavera CF won 56,951 of them (57%), the draw came up 25% of the time and Cacereño won 18.1%. The most likely score is 0-1 (13.9%), and both teams score in 44.6% of simulations.

Cacereño badge
Cacereño Estadio Príncipe Felipe
1–2 Full time
Talavera CF badge
Talavera CF Away
18.1% 18,050 wins
25% Draw
57% 56,951 wins
Expected goals
0.81 – 1.65
Likeliest score
0-1 13.9%
Both score
44.6%
Over 2.5
44.3%

Full time 1-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Talavera CF winning 57% and gave this exact score 9.2%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Abraham Domínguez Cervantes Estadio Príncipe Felipe, Cáceres
Cacereño vs Talavera CF live score, stats & lineups

Cacereño vs Talavera CF in numbers 100,000 simulations · Primera Division RFEF: Group 1 · Saturday 23 May, 17:30

Cacereño vs Talavera CF simulation probabilities
Cacereño win18.1%
Draw25%
Talavera CF win57%
Most likely score0-1 (13.9%)
Expected goals0.81 – 1.65
Both teams to score44.6%
Over 1.5 goals70.3%
Over 2.5 goals44.3%
Over 3.5 goals23.4%
Cacereño score first30.7%
Talavera CF score first60.3%
Cacereño clean sheet19.6%
Talavera CF clean sheet44.9%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/378352069
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Cacereño vs Talavera CF prediction FAQs

Who will win Cacereño vs Talavera CF?

Talavera CF are favourites. They win 57% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25% for the draw and 18.1% for Cacereño. Including the draw, Talavera CF avoid defeat 82% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Cacereño vs Talavera CF?

0-1, which came up in 13.9% of simulations. Next are 0-2 (11.6%) and 1-1 (11.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Cacereño vs Talavera CF?

Both teams score in 44.6% of simulations. Cacereño keep a clean sheet 19.6% of the time and Talavera CF 44.9%.

How many goals will there be in Cacereño vs Talavera CF?

The simulations average 2.45 goals: 0.81 for Cacereño and 1.65 for Talavera CF. Over 1.5 goals lands 70.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 44.3% and over 3.5 goals 23.4%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.