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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Carabobo vs Metropolitanos 100,000 times. Carabobo won 50,275 of them (50.3%), the draw came up 27.4% of the time and Metropolitanos won 22.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.9%, while the likeliest Carabobo win is 1-0 (11.5%). Both teams score in 49.4% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 27.4% and gave this exact score 12.9%.
| Carabobo win | 50.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.4% |
| Metropolitanos win | 22.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.57 – 0.96 |
| Both teams to score | 49.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% |
| Carabobo score first | 55% |
| Metropolitanos score first | 35.6% |
| Carabobo clean sheet | 38.5% |
| Metropolitanos clean sheet | 21.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420739477 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Carabobo are favourites. They win 50.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.4% for the draw and 22.4% for Metropolitanos. Including the draw, Carabobo avoid defeat 77.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.9% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest Carabobo win is 1-0 (11.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 49.4% of simulations. Carabobo keep a clean sheet 38.5% of the time and Metropolitanos 21.3%.
The simulations average 2.53 goals: 1.57 for Carabobo and 0.96 for Metropolitanos. Over 1.5 goals lands 72.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 46.2% and over 3.5 goals 25%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.