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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Cardiff MU vs Ynyshir Albions 100,000 times. Cardiff MU won 84,438 of them (84.4%), the draw came up 10% of the time and Ynyshir Albions won 5.5%. The most likely score is 3-0 (11.3%), and both teams score in 45.8% of simulations.
Full time 4-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Cardiff MU winning 84.4% and gave this exact score 8.7%.
| Cardiff MU win | 84.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 10% |
| Ynyshir Albions win | 5.5% |
| Most likely score | 3-0 (11.3%) |
| Expected goals | 3.09 – 0.67 |
| Both teams to score | 45.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 51.3% |
| Cardiff MU score first | 81.1% |
| Ynyshir Albions score first | 16.7% |
| Cardiff MU clean sheet | 51.6% |
| Ynyshir Albions clean sheet | 4.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420728548 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Cardiff MU are favourites. They win 84.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 10% for the draw and 5.5% for Ynyshir Albions. Including the draw, Cardiff MU avoid defeat 94.5% of the time.
3-0, which came up in 11.3% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (11.2%) and 4-0 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 45.8% of simulations. Cardiff MU keep a clean sheet 51.6% of the time and Ynyshir Albions 4.9%.
The simulations average 3.75 goals: 3.09 for Cardiff MU and 0.67 for Ynyshir Albions. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 71.7% and over 3.5 goals 51.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.