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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Carlisle United vs Salford City 100,000 times. Salford City won 39,090 of them (39.1%), the draw came up 23.8% of the time and Carlisle United won 37.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.7%, while the likeliest Salford City win is 1-2 (8.3%). Both teams score in 62.1% of simulations.
| Carlisle United win | 37.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.8% |
| Salford City win | 39.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.55 – 1.59 |
| Both teams to score | 62.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.3% |
| Carlisle United score first | 50.4% |
| Salford City score first | 45.1% |
| Carlisle United clean sheet | 20.8% |
| Salford City clean sheet | 21.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420739328 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Salford City are favourites. They win 39.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.8% for the draw and 37.1% for Carlisle United. Including the draw, Salford City avoid defeat 62.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.7% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.3%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest Salford City win is 1-2 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.1% of simulations. Carlisle United keep a clean sheet 20.8% of the time and Salford City 21.8%.
The simulations average 3.14 goals: 1.55 for Carlisle United and 1.59 for Salford City. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 60.4% and over 3.5 goals 38.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.