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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Cartaginés vs Deportivo Saprissa 100,000 times. Deportivo Saprissa won 35,342 of them (35.3%), the draw came up 31.4% of the time and Cartaginés won 33.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 14.9%, while the likeliest Deportivo Saprissa win is 1-2 (8.2%). Both teams score in 55.9% of simulations.
Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Cartaginés winning 33.3% and gave this exact score 6.6%.
| Cartaginés win | 33.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 31.4% |
| Deportivo Saprissa win | 35.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (14.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.30 – 1.34 |
| Both teams to score | 55.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.4% |
| Cartaginés score first | 43% |
| Deportivo Saprissa score first | 46.9% |
| Cartaginés clean sheet | 26.5% |
| Deportivo Saprissa clean sheet | 27.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420583851 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Deportivo Saprissa are favourites. They win 35.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 31.4% for the draw and 33.3% for Cartaginés. Including the draw, Deportivo Saprissa avoid defeat 66.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 14.9% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (10%) and 1-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Deportivo Saprissa win is 1-2 (8.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 55.9% of simulations. Cartaginés keep a clean sheet 26.5% of the time and Deportivo Saprissa 27.7%.
The simulations average 2.64 goals: 1.30 for Cartaginés and 1.34 for Deportivo Saprissa. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49.1% and over 3.5 goals 27.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.