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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Castellonense vs Almería 100,000 times. Almería won 63,433 of them (63.4%), the draw came up 21.5% of the time and Castellonense won 15.1%. The most likely score is 0-1 (12.1%), and both teams score in 47.8% of simulations.
Full time 1-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Almería winning 63.4% and gave this exact score 9.6%.
| Castellonense win | 15.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.5% |
| Almería win | 63.4% |
| Most likely score | 0-1 (12.1%) |
| Expected goals | 0.82 – 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | 47.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.3% |
| Castellonense score first | 28.1% |
| Almería score first | 65% |
| Castellonense clean sheet | 14.6% |
| Almería clean sheet | 44.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420731330 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Almería are favourites. They win 63.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.5% for the draw and 15.1% for Castellonense. Including the draw, Almería avoid defeat 84.9% of the time.
0-1, which came up in 12.1% of simulations. Next are 0-2 (11.8%) and 1-1 (10.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.8% of simulations. Castellonense keep a clean sheet 14.6% of the time and Almería 44.2%.
The simulations average 2.77 goals: 0.82 for Castellonense and 1.95 for Almería. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52.2% and over 3.5 goals 30.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.