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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Cha Choeng Sao vs Nongbua Pitchaya FC 100,000 times. Nongbua Pitchaya FC won 69,874 of them (69.9%), the draw came up 18% of the time and Cha Choeng Sao won 12.1%. The most likely score is 0-2 (12.1%), and both teams score in 47.7% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 18% and gave this exact score 8.5%.
| Cha Choeng Sao win | 12.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 18% |
| Nongbua Pitchaya FC win | 69.9% |
| Most likely score | 0-2 (12.1%) |
| Expected goals | 0.78 – 2.22 |
| Both teams to score | 47.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.2% |
| Cha Choeng Sao score first | 25.4% |
| Nongbua Pitchaya FC score first | 69.6% |
| Cha Choeng Sao clean sheet | 11.3% |
| Nongbua Pitchaya FC clean sheet | 46% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420732115 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Nongbua Pitchaya FC are favourites. They win 69.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18% for the draw and 12.1% for Cha Choeng Sao. Including the draw, Nongbua Pitchaya FC avoid defeat 87.9% of the time.
0-2, which came up in 12.1% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (11.3%) and 1-2 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.7% of simulations. Cha Choeng Sao keep a clean sheet 11.3% of the time and Nongbua Pitchaya FC 46%.
The simulations average 3.00 goals: 0.78 for Cha Choeng Sao and 2.22 for Nongbua Pitchaya FC. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.3% and over 3.5 goals 35.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.