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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Chelsea W vs Roma W 100,000 times. Chelsea W won 84,679 of them (84.7%), the draw came up 9.6% of the time and Roma W won 5.7%. The most likely score is 3-0 (10.2%), and both teams score in 50.4% of simulations.
Full time 2-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Chelsea W winning 84.7% and gave this exact score 9.6%.
| Chelsea W win | 84.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 9.6% |
| Roma W win | 5.7% |
| Most likely score | 3-0 (10.2%) |
| Expected goals | 3.27 – 0.75 |
| Both teams to score | 50.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 56.6% |
| Chelsea W score first | 77.9% |
| Roma W score first | 20.4% |
| Chelsea W clean sheet | 47.2% |
| Roma W clean sheet | 4.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420710573 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Chelsea W are favourites. They win 84.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 9.6% for the draw and 5.7% for Roma W. Including the draw, Chelsea W avoid defeat 94.3% of the time.
3-0, which came up in 10.2% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (9.6%) and 4-0 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 50.4% of simulations. Chelsea W keep a clean sheet 47.2% of the time and Roma W 4.1%.
The simulations average 4.02 goals: 3.27 for Chelsea W and 0.75 for Roma W. Over 1.5 goals lands 90.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 75.9% and over 3.5 goals 56.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.