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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Chicago Fire II vs Chattanooga 100,000 times. Chattanooga won 42,111 of them (42.1%), the draw came up 22.2% of the time and Chicago Fire II won 35.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 8.5%, while the likeliest Chattanooga win is 1-2 (7.8%). Both teams score in 72.5% of simulations.
Full time 0-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Chattanooga winning 42.1% and gave this exact score 3.8%.
| Chicago Fire II win | 35.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.2% |
| Chattanooga win | 42.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (8.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.83 – 2.00 |
| Both teams to score | 72.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 53% |
| Chicago Fire II score first | 47.9% |
| Chattanooga score first | 49.1% |
| Chicago Fire II clean sheet | 14% |
| Chattanooga clean sheet | 16.4% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420513939 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Chattanooga are favourites. They win 42.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.2% for the draw and 35.7% for Chicago Fire II. Including the draw, Chattanooga avoid defeat 64.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 8.5% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (7.8%) and 2-1 (7.2%). The likeliest Chattanooga win is 1-2 (7.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 72.5% of simulations. Chicago Fire II keep a clean sheet 14% of the time and Chattanooga 16.4%.
The simulations average 3.83 goals: 1.83 for Chicago Fire II and 2.00 for Chattanooga. Over 1.5 goals lands 89.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 73.2% and over 3.5 goals 53%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.