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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Chicago Fire vs Sporting KC 100,000 times. Chicago Fire won 78,016 of them (78%), the draw came up 13.8% of the time and Sporting KC won 8.2%. The most likely score is 2-0 (9.9%), and both teams score in 54.2% of simulations.
Full time 5-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Chicago Fire winning 78% and gave this exact score 4%.
| Chicago Fire win | 78% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 13.8% |
| Sporting KC win | 8.2% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (9.9%) |
| Expected goals | 2.88 – 0.86 |
| Both teams to score | 54.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 51.1% |
| Chicago Fire score first | 77.6% |
| Sporting KC score first | 19.6% |
| Chicago Fire clean sheet | 42.8% |
| Sporting KC clean sheet | 5.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510004 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Chicago Fire are favourites. They win 78% of our 100,000 simulations, against 13.8% for the draw and 8.2% for Sporting KC. Including the draw, Chicago Fire avoid defeat 91.8% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 9.9% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.2% of simulations. Chicago Fire keep a clean sheet 42.8% of the time and Sporting KC 5.9%.
The simulations average 3.74 goals: 2.88 for Chicago Fire and 0.86 for Sporting KC. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 71.6% and over 3.5 goals 51.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.