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NWSL · 100,000 simulations

Chicago Stars W vs Houston Dash W prediction

We simulated Chicago Stars W vs Houston Dash W 100,000 times. Houston Dash W won 47,900 of them (47.9%), the draw came up 23.9% of the time and Chicago Stars W won 28.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.1%, while the likeliest Houston Dash W win is 1-2 (9.3%). Both teams score in 57.5% of simulations.

Chicago Stars W badge
Chicago Stars W SeatGeek Stadium
1–3 Full time
Houston Dash W badge
Houston Dash W Away
28.2% 28,229 wins
23.9% Draw
47.9% 47,900 wins
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.69
Likeliest score
1-1 11.1% Top Houston Dash W win: 1-2 9.3%
Both score
57.5%
Over 2.5
55.9%

Full time 1-3. Before kick-off the simulations had Houston Dash W winning 47.9% and gave this exact score 5.3%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Adorae Monroy SeatGeek Stadium, United States
Chicago Stars W vs Houston Dash W live score, stats & lineups

Chicago Stars W vs Houston Dash W in numbers 100,000 simulations · NWSL · Saturday 24 October, 01:00

Chicago Stars W vs Houston Dash W simulation probabilities
Chicago Stars W win28.2%
Draw23.9%
Houston Dash W win47.9%
Most likely score1-1 (11.1%)
Expected goals1.24 – 1.69
Both teams to score57.5%
Over 1.5 goals78.7%
Over 2.5 goals55.9%
Over 3.5 goals33.8%
Chicago Stars W score first40.9%
Houston Dash W score first53.6%
Chicago Stars W clean sheet18.8%
Houston Dash W clean sheet29.3%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420526352
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Chicago Stars W vs Houston Dash W prediction FAQs

Who will win Chicago Stars W vs Houston Dash W?

Houston Dash W are favourites. They win 47.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.9% for the draw and 28.2% for Chicago Stars W. Including the draw, Houston Dash W avoid defeat 71.8% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Chicago Stars W vs Houston Dash W?

1-1, which came up in 11.1% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-1 (9.1%). The likeliest Houston Dash W win is 1-2 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Chicago Stars W vs Houston Dash W?

Both teams score in 57.5% of simulations. Chicago Stars W keep a clean sheet 18.8% of the time and Houston Dash W 29.3%.

How many goals will there be in Chicago Stars W vs Houston Dash W?

The simulations average 2.93 goals: 1.24 for Chicago Stars W and 1.69 for Houston Dash W. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 55.9% and over 3.5 goals 33.8%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.