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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated China PR vs Tajikistan 100,000 times. China PR won 50,410 of them (50.4%), the draw came up 26.5% of the time and Tajikistan won 23.1%. The most likely score is 1-0 (12.4%), and both teams score in 48% of simulations.
Full time 0-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Tajikistan winning 23.1% and gave this exact score 7.6%.
| China PR win | 50.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.5% |
| Tajikistan win | 23.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (12.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.53 – 0.95 |
| Both teams to score | 48% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% |
| China PR score first | 53.4% |
| Tajikistan score first | 37.6% |
| China PR clean sheet | 39% |
| Tajikistan clean sheet | 22% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420693611 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
China PR are favourites. They win 50.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.5% for the draw and 23.1% for Tajikistan. Including the draw, China PR avoid defeat 76.9% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 12.4% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (12.4%) and 2-0 (9.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 48% of simulations. China PR keep a clean sheet 39% of the time and Tajikistan 22%.
The simulations average 2.48 goals: 1.53 for China PR and 0.95 for Tajikistan. Over 1.5 goals lands 71% of the time, over 2.5 goals 45% and over 3.5 goals 24%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.