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Club Friendlies 3 · 100,000 simulations

Chorley vs Accrington Stanley prediction

We simulated Chorley vs Accrington Stanley 100,000 times. Accrington Stanley won 47,539 of them (47.5%), the draw came up 26.7% of the time and Chorley won 25.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.6%, while the likeliest Accrington Stanley win is 0-1 (11.2%). Both teams score in 50.8% of simulations.

Chorley badge
Chorley The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
0–3 Full time
Accrington Stanley badge
Accrington Stanley Away
25.8% 25,748 wins
26.7% Draw
47.5% 47,539 wins
Expected goals
1.05 – 1.52
Likeliest score
1-1 12.6% Top Accrington win: 0-1 11.2%
Both score
50.8%
Over 2.5
47.2%

Full time 0-3. Before kick-off the simulations had Accrington Stanley winning 47.5% and gave this exact score 4.5%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium, Chorley
Chorley vs Accrington Stanley live score, stats & lineups

Chorley vs Accrington Stanley in numbers 100,000 simulations · Club Friendlies 3 · Saturday 25 July, 15:00

Chorley vs Accrington Stanley simulation probabilities
Chorley win25.8%
Draw26.7%
Accrington Stanley win47.5%
Most likely score1-1 (12.6%)
Expected goals1.05 – 1.52
Both teams to score50.8%
Over 1.5 goals72.8%
Over 2.5 goals47.2%
Over 3.5 goals25.8%
Chorley score first39.7%
Accrington Stanley score first52.1%
Chorley clean sheet22.3%
Accrington Stanley clean sheet35.4%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420566095
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Chorley vs Accrington Stanley prediction FAQs

Who will win Chorley vs Accrington Stanley?

Accrington Stanley are favourites. They win 47.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.7% for the draw and 25.8% for Chorley. Including the draw, Accrington Stanley avoid defeat 74.3% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Chorley vs Accrington Stanley?

1-1, which came up in 12.6% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (11.2%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win is 0-1 (11.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Chorley vs Accrington Stanley?

Both teams score in 50.8% of simulations. Chorley keep a clean sheet 22.3% of the time and Accrington Stanley 35.4%.

How many goals will there be in Chorley vs Accrington Stanley?

The simulations average 2.57 goals: 1.05 for Chorley and 1.52 for Accrington Stanley. Over 1.5 goals lands 72.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 47.2% and over 3.5 goals 25.8%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.