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We simulated Chorley vs Accrington Stanley 100,000 times. Accrington Stanley won 47,539 of them (47.5%), the draw came up 26.7% of the time and Chorley won 25.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.6%, while the likeliest Accrington Stanley win is 0-1 (11.2%). Both teams score in 50.8% of simulations.
Full time 0-3. Before kick-off the simulations had Accrington Stanley winning 47.5% and gave this exact score 4.5%.
| Chorley win | 25.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.7% |
| Accrington Stanley win | 47.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.05 – 1.52 |
| Both teams to score | 50.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.8% |
| Chorley score first | 39.7% |
| Accrington Stanley score first | 52.1% |
| Chorley clean sheet | 22.3% |
| Accrington Stanley clean sheet | 35.4% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420566095 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Accrington Stanley are favourites. They win 47.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.7% for the draw and 25.8% for Chorley. Including the draw, Accrington Stanley avoid defeat 74.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.6% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (11.2%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win is 0-1 (11.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 50.8% of simulations. Chorley keep a clean sheet 22.3% of the time and Accrington Stanley 35.4%.
The simulations average 2.57 goals: 1.05 for Chorley and 1.52 for Accrington Stanley. Over 1.5 goals lands 72.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 47.2% and over 3.5 goals 25.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.