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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Club Atletico Colón vs Defensores de Belgrano 100,000 times. Club Atletico Colón won 62,870 of them (62.9%), the draw came up 25.8% of the time and Defensores de Belgrano won 11.4%. The most likely score is 1-0 (20%), and both teams score in 30.3% of simulations.
Full time 2-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Club Atletico Colón winning 62.9% and gave this exact score 15.4%.
| Club Atletico Colón win | 62.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.8% |
| Defensores de Belgrano win | 11.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (20%) |
| Expected goals | 1.54 – 0.49 |
| Both teams to score | 30.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 60.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 14.9% |
| Club Atletico Colón score first | 65.8% |
| Defensores de Belgrano score first | 20.1% |
| Club Atletico Colón clean sheet | 61.6% |
| Defensores de Belgrano clean sheet | 21.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420503139 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Club Atletico Colón are favourites. They win 62.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.8% for the draw and 11.4% for Defensores de Belgrano. Including the draw, Club Atletico Colón avoid defeat 88.7% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 20% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (15.4%) and 0-0 (13.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 30.3% of simulations. Club Atletico Colón keep a clean sheet 61.6% of the time and Defensores de Belgrano 21.9%.
The simulations average 2.02 goals: 1.54 for Club Atletico Colón and 0.49 for Defensores de Belgrano. Over 1.5 goals lands 60.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 33% and over 3.5 goals 14.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.