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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Colina vs Santiago Morning 100,000 times. Colina won 44,597 of them (44.6%), the draw came up 25.3% of the time and Santiago Morning won 30.1%. The most likely score is 1-0 (12.2%), and both teams score in 49.2% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 25.3% and gave this exact score 11.8%.
| Colina win | 44.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.3% |
| Santiago Morning win | 30.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (12.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.41 – 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | 49.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 24.4% |
| Colina score first | 49.3% |
| Santiago Morning score first | 43% |
| Colina clean sheet | 33.7% |
| Santiago Morning clean sheet | 24.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420584035 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Colina are favourites. They win 44.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.3% for the draw and 30.1% for Santiago Morning. Including the draw, Colina avoid defeat 69.9% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 12.2% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (11.8%) and 0-1 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 49.2% of simulations. Colina keep a clean sheet 33.7% of the time and Santiago Morning 24.9%.
The simulations average 2.50 goals: 1.41 for Colina and 1.10 for Santiago Morning. Over 1.5 goals lands 70.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 45.6% and over 3.5 goals 24.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.