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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Colo-Colo vs Univ. Concepción 100,000 times. Colo-Colo won 72,982 of them (73%), the draw came up 16.1% of the time and Univ. Concepción won 10.9%. The most likely score is 2-0 (11%), and both teams score in 51.6% of simulations.
Full time 6-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Colo-Colo winning 73%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Colo-Colo win | 73% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 16.1% |
| Univ. Concepción win | 10.9% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (11%) |
| Expected goals | 2.48 – 0.84 |
| Both teams to score | 51.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.4% |
| Colo-Colo score first | 68.8% |
| Univ. Concepción score first | 27.4% |
| Colo-Colo clean sheet | 43.4% |
| Univ. Concepción clean sheet | 8.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420494878 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Colo-Colo are favourites. They win 73% of our 100,000 simulations, against 16.1% for the draw and 10.9% for Univ. Concepción. Including the draw, Colo-Colo avoid defeat 89.1% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 11% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.1%) and 1-0 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 51.6% of simulations. Colo-Colo keep a clean sheet 43.4% of the time and Univ. Concepción 8.7%.
The simulations average 3.32 goals: 2.48 for Colo-Colo and 0.84 for Univ. Concepción. Over 1.5 goals lands 84% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64.1% and over 3.5 goals 42.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.