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  1. Simulations
  2. Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano
Primera Division · 100,000 simulations

Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano prediction

We simulated Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano 100,000 times. Cienciano won 37,214 of them (37.2%), the draw came up 26.3% of the time and Comerciantes Unidos won 36.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.3%, while the likeliest Cienciano win is 1-2 (8.3%). Both teams score in 57.2% of simulations.

Comerciantes Unidos badge
Comerciantes Unidos Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra
3–1 Full time
Cienciano badge
Cienciano Away
36.5% 36,459 wins
26.3% Draw
37.2% 37,214 wins
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.42
Likeliest score
1-1 12.3% Top Cienciano win: 1-2 8.3%
Both score
57.2%
Over 2.5
53.3%

Full time 3-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Comerciantes Unidos winning 36.5% and gave this exact score 3.8%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Micke Palomino Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo
Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano live score, stats & lineups

Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano in numbers 100,000 simulations · Primera Division · Sunday 25 October, 16:00

Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano simulation probabilities
Comerciantes Unidos win36.5%
Draw26.3%
Cienciano win37.2%
Most likely score1-1 (12.3%)
Expected goals1.40 – 1.42
Both teams to score57.2%
Over 1.5 goals77.5%
Over 2.5 goals53.3%
Over 3.5 goals31.3%
Comerciantes Unidos score first46.2%
Cienciano score first47.1%
Comerciantes Unidos clean sheet24.6%
Cienciano clean sheet25%
Football simulation API

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# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
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Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano prediction FAQs

Who will win Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano?

Cienciano are favourites. They win 37.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.3% for the draw and 36.5% for Comerciantes Unidos. Including the draw, Cienciano avoid defeat 63.5% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano?

1-1, which came up in 12.3% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.3%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest Cienciano win is 1-2 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano?

Both teams score in 57.2% of simulations. Comerciantes Unidos keep a clean sheet 24.6% of the time and Cienciano 25%.

How many goals will there be in Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano?

The simulations average 2.82 goals: 1.40 for Comerciantes Unidos and 1.42 for Cienciano. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 53.3% and over 3.5 goals 31.3%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.