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Simulations V2 Sign Up Fixed
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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Concepcion vs Palestino 100,000 times. Concepcion won 40,317 of them (40.3%), the draw came up 26.8% of the time and Palestino won 32.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.6%, while the likeliest Concepcion win is 1-0 (9%). Both teams score in 55.1% of simulations.
| Concepcion win | 40.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.8% |
| Palestino win | 32.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.44 – 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | 55.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% |
| Concepcion score first | 51.9% |
| Palestino score first | 41.1% |
| Concepcion clean sheet | 28.3% |
| Palestino clean sheet | 24.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420494979 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Concepcion are favourites. They win 40.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.8% for the draw and 32.9% for Palestino. Including the draw, Concepcion avoid defeat 67.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.6% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest Concepcion win is 1-0 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 55.1% of simulations. Concepcion keep a clean sheet 28.3% of the time and Palestino 24.1%.
The simulations average 2.72 goals: 1.44 for Concepcion and 1.28 for Palestino. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 50.8% and over 3.5 goals 29%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.