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  1. Simulations
  2. Congo DR vs Sierra Leone
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications · 100,000 simulations

Congo DR vs Sierra Leone prediction

We simulated Congo DR vs Sierra Leone 100,000 times. Congo DR won 79,020 of them (79%), the draw came up 15.6% of the time and Sierra Leone won 5.3%. The most likely score is 2-0 (18.6%), and both teams score in 25.1% of simulations.

Congo DR badge
Congo DR Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecôte
Thursday 12 November
Sierra Leone badge
Sierra Leone Away
79% 79,020 wins
15.6% Draw
5.3% 5,344 wins
Expected goals
2.13 – 0.34
Likeliest score
2-0 18.6%
Both score
25.1%
Over 2.5
44.7%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecôte, Kinshasa
Congo DR vs Sierra Leone lineups, team news & head to head

Congo DR vs Sierra Leone in numbers 100,000 simulations · Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications · Thursday 12 November, 16:00

Congo DR vs Sierra Leone simulation probabilities
Congo DR win79%
Draw15.6%
Sierra Leone win5.3%
Most likely score2-0 (18.6%)
Expected goals2.13 – 0.34
Both teams to score25.1%
Over 1.5 goals69.7%
Over 2.5 goals44.7%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Congo DR score first78.4%
Sierra Leone score first13%
Congo DR clean sheet71%
Sierra Leone clean sheet12.6%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420728714
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Congo DR vs Sierra Leone prediction FAQs

Who will win Congo DR vs Sierra Leone?

Congo DR are favourites. They win 79% of our 100,000 simulations, against 15.6% for the draw and 5.3% for Sierra Leone. Including the draw, Congo DR avoid defeat 94.7% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Congo DR vs Sierra Leone?

2-0, which came up in 18.6% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (18.3%) and 3-0 (13.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Congo DR vs Sierra Leone?

Both teams score in 25.1% of simulations. Congo DR keep a clean sheet 71% of the time and Sierra Leone 12.6%.

How many goals will there be in Congo DR vs Sierra Leone?

The simulations average 2.48 goals: 2.13 for Congo DR and 0.34 for Sierra Leone. Over 1.5 goals lands 69.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 44.7% and over 3.5 goals 24%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here 1xBet), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.