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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Côte d'Ivoire vs Ecuador 100,000 times. Ecuador won 35,660 of them (35.7%), the draw came up 32.4% of the time and Côte d'Ivoire won 31.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 14.5%, while the likeliest Ecuador win is 0-1 (12.3%). Both teams score in 42.6% of simulations.
Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Côte d'Ivoire winning 31.9% and gave this exact score 11.4%.
| Côte d'Ivoire win | 31.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 32.4% |
| Ecuador win | 35.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (14.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.00 – 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | 42.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 15.9% |
| Côte d'Ivoire score first | 43.4% |
| Ecuador score first | 42.4% |
| Côte d'Ivoire clean sheet | 34.4% |
| Ecuador clean sheet | 37% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420562369 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Ecuador are favourites. They win 35.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 32.4% for the draw and 31.9% for Côte d'Ivoire. Including the draw, Ecuador avoid defeat 68.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 14.5% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (13.9%) and 0-1 (12.3%). The likeliest Ecuador win is 0-1 (12.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 42.6% of simulations. Côte d'Ivoire keep a clean sheet 34.4% of the time and Ecuador 37%.
The simulations average 2.08 goals: 1.00 for Côte d'Ivoire and 1.08 for Ecuador. Over 1.5 goals lands 62.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 34.5% and over 3.5 goals 15.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.