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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Côte d'Ivoire vs Gambia 100,000 times. Côte d'Ivoire won 79,070 of them (79.1%), the draw came up 14.3% of the time and Gambia won 6.6%. The most likely score is 2-0 (15.1%), and both teams score in 37.1% of simulations.
| Côte d'Ivoire win | 79.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 14.3% |
| Gambia win | 6.6% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (15.1%) |
| Expected goals | 2.43 – 0.53 |
| Both teams to score | 37.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.4% |
| Côte d'Ivoire score first | 77.6% |
| Gambia score first | 17.4% |
| Côte d'Ivoire clean sheet | 58.9% |
| Gambia clean sheet | 9.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420728719 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Côte d'Ivoire are favourites. They win 79.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 14.3% for the draw and 6.6% for Gambia. Including the draw, Côte d'Ivoire avoid defeat 93.4% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 15.1% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (12.9%) and 3-0 (12.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 37.1% of simulations. Côte d'Ivoire keep a clean sheet 58.9% of the time and Gambia 9.3%.
The simulations average 2.96 goals: 2.43 for Côte d'Ivoire and 0.53 for Gambia. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.4% and over 3.5 goals 34.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.