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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Crewe Alexandra vs Birmingham City 100,000 times. Birmingham City won 41,565 of them (41.6%), the draw came up 27.7% of the time and Crewe Alexandra won 30.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.1%, while the likeliest Birmingham City win is 1-2 (8.8%). Both teams score in 56.8% of simulations.
Full time 1-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Birmingham City winning 41.6% and gave this exact score 8.8%.
| Crewe Alexandra win | 30.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.7% |
| Birmingham City win | 41.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.27 – 1.51 |
| Both teams to score | 56.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.4% |
| Crewe Alexandra score first | 38.1% |
| Birmingham City score first | 54.4% |
| Crewe Alexandra clean sheet | 22.5% |
| Birmingham City clean sheet | 28.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420569019 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Birmingham City are favourites. They win 41.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.7% for the draw and 30.7% for Crewe Alexandra. Including the draw, Birmingham City avoid defeat 69.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.1% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-1 (8.1%). The likeliest Birmingham City win is 1-2 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56.8% of simulations. Crewe Alexandra keep a clean sheet 22.5% of the time and Birmingham City 28.5%.
The simulations average 2.78 goals: 1.27 for Crewe Alexandra and 1.51 for Birmingham City. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52.4% and over 3.5 goals 30.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.