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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Crewe Alexandra vs Wigan Athletic 100,000 times. Crewe Alexandra won 43,866 of them (43.9%), the draw came up 27.3% of the time and Wigan Athletic won 28.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.8%, while the likeliest Crewe Alexandra win is 2-1 (9%). Both teams score in 57.4% of simulations.
| Crewe Alexandra win | 43.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.3% |
| Wigan Athletic win | 28.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.58 – 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | 57.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.5% |
| Crewe Alexandra score first | 50.3% |
| Wigan Athletic score first | 42.3% |
| Crewe Alexandra clean sheet | 29.2% |
| Wigan Athletic clean sheet | 20.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420657208 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Crewe Alexandra are favourites. They win 43.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.3% for the draw and 28.8% for Wigan Athletic. Including the draw, Crewe Alexandra avoid defeat 71.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.8% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9%) and 1-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win is 2-1 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.4% of simulations. Crewe Alexandra keep a clean sheet 29.2% of the time and Wigan Athletic 20.9%.
The simulations average 2.83 goals: 1.58 for Crewe Alexandra and 1.25 for Wigan Athletic. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 53.5% and over 3.5 goals 31.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.