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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Czech Republic U21 vs Bulgaria U21 100,000 times. Czech Republic U21 won 62,473 of them (62.5%), the draw came up 23.2% of the time and Bulgaria U21 won 14.3%. The most likely score is 1-0 (14.9%), and both teams score in 41.3% of simulations.
Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Czech Republic U21 winning 62.5% and gave this exact score 14.9%.
| Czech Republic U21 win | 62.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.2% |
| Bulgaria U21 win | 14.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (14.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.76 – 0.70 |
| Both teams to score | 41.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 23.4% |
| Czech Republic U21 score first | 63.4% |
| Bulgaria U21 score first | 27.7% |
| Czech Republic U21 clean sheet | 50.1% |
| Bulgaria U21 clean sheet | 17.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/314882542 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Czech Republic U21 are favourites. They win 62.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.2% for the draw and 14.3% for Bulgaria U21. Including the draw, Czech Republic U21 avoid defeat 85.7% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 14.9% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (13.1%) and 1-1 (10.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 41.3% of simulations. Czech Republic U21 keep a clean sheet 50.1% of the time and Bulgaria U21 17.6%.
The simulations average 2.45 goals: 1.76 for Czech Republic U21 and 0.70 for Bulgaria U21. Over 1.5 goals lands 70.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 44.3% and over 3.5 goals 23.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.