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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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UPDATE
Bet Builder Page Enhancements Live Now
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Predictions Show Episode Featuring Bet Builder
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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Czech Republic vs Mexico 100,000 times. Mexico won 52,560 of them (52.6%), the draw came up 24.6% of the time and Czech Republic won 22.8%. The most likely score is 0-1 (13.8%), and both teams score in 46.1% of simulations.
Full time 0-3. Before kick-off the simulations had Mexico winning 52.6% and gave this exact score 5.3%.
| Czech Republic win | 22.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.6% |
| Mexico win | 52.6% |
| Most likely score | 0-1 (13.8%) |
| Expected goals | 0.91 – 1.55 |
| Both teams to score | 46.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 23.4% |
| Czech Republic score first | 37.8% |
| Mexico score first | 54% |
| Czech Republic clean sheet | 21.7% |
| Mexico clean sheet | 40.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420562854 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Mexico are favourites. They win 52.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.6% for the draw and 22.8% for Czech Republic. Including the draw, Mexico avoid defeat 77.2% of the time.
0-1, which came up in 13.8% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (11.4%) and 0-2 (10.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 46.1% of simulations. Czech Republic keep a clean sheet 21.7% of the time and Mexico 40.5%.
The simulations average 2.46 goals: 0.91 for Czech Republic and 1.55 for Mexico. Over 1.5 goals lands 69.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 44.4% and over 3.5 goals 23.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.