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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Dalian Kewei vs Jiangxi Lushan 100,000 times. Dalian Kewei won 66,937 of them (66.9%), the draw came up 22.8% of the time and Jiangxi Lushan won 10.3%. The most likely score is 1-0 (16.7%), and both teams score in 35.4% of simulations.
Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Dalian Kewei winning 66.9% and gave this exact score 8.3%.
| Dalian Kewei win | 66.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.8% |
| Jiangxi Lushan win | 10.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (16.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.80 – 0.55 |
| Both teams to score | 35.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 21.2% |
| Dalian Kewei score first | 67.3% |
| Jiangxi Lushan score first | 22.2% |
| Dalian Kewei clean sheet | 58% |
| Jiangxi Lushan clean sheet | 17% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420711158 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Dalian Kewei are favourites. They win 66.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.8% for the draw and 10.3% for Jiangxi Lushan. Including the draw, Dalian Kewei avoid defeat 89.7% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 16.7% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (15.3%) and 0-0 (10.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 35.4% of simulations. Dalian Kewei keep a clean sheet 58% of the time and Jiangxi Lushan 17%.
The simulations average 2.35 goals: 1.80 for Dalian Kewei and 0.55 for Jiangxi Lushan. Over 1.5 goals lands 68.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 41.5% and over 3.5 goals 21.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.