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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Damascus Al Ahli vs Al Shorta 100,000 times. Damascus Al Ahli won 44,473 of them (44.5%), the draw came up 28.3% of the time and Al Shorta won 27.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.1%, while the likeliest Damascus Al Ahli win is 1-0 (12.2%). Both teams score in 47.4% of simulations.
Full time 0-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Al Shorta winning 27.3% and gave this exact score 8.9%.
| Damascus Al Ahli win | 44.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.3% |
| Al Shorta win | 27.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.37 – 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | 47.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 21.8% |
| Damascus Al Ahli score first | 50.2% |
| Al Shorta score first | 39.7% |
| Damascus Al Ahli clean sheet | 36.8% |
| Al Shorta clean sheet | 25.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420732724 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Damascus Al Ahli are favourites. They win 44.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.3% for the draw and 27.3% for Al Shorta. Including the draw, Damascus Al Ahli avoid defeat 72.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.1% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (12.2%) and 0-0 (10.1%). The likeliest Damascus Al Ahli win is 1-0 (12.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.4% of simulations. Damascus Al Ahli keep a clean sheet 36.8% of the time and Al Shorta 25.9%.
The simulations average 2.38 goals: 1.37 for Damascus Al Ahli and 1.01 for Al Shorta. Over 1.5 goals lands 68.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 42.3% and over 3.5 goals 21.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.