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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Danubio vs Nacional 100,000 times. Nacional won 52,851 of them (52.9%), the draw came up 25.8% of the time and Danubio won 21.4%. The most likely score is 0-1 (12.8%), and both teams score in 47.5% of simulations.
Full time 1-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Nacional winning 52.9% and gave this exact score 9.3%.
| Danubio win | 21.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.8% |
| Nacional win | 52.9% |
| Most likely score | 0-1 (12.8%) |
| Expected goals | 0.91 – 1.59 |
| Both teams to score | 47.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 24.4% |
| Danubio score first | 37.2% |
| Nacional score first | 54.1% |
| Danubio clean sheet | 20.8% |
| Nacional clean sheet | 40.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420740175 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Nacional are favourites. They win 52.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.8% for the draw and 21.4% for Danubio. Including the draw, Nacional avoid defeat 78.6% of the time.
0-1, which came up in 12.8% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (12%) and 0-2 (10.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.5% of simulations. Danubio keep a clean sheet 20.8% of the time and Nacional 40.5%.
The simulations average 2.50 goals: 0.91 for Danubio and 1.59 for Nacional. Over 1.5 goals lands 71.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 45.5% and over 3.5 goals 24.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.