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  1. Simulations
  2. Darwin Olympic vs Port Darwin
Northern Territory Premier League · 100,000 simulations

Darwin Olympic vs Port Darwin prediction

We simulated Darwin Olympic vs Port Darwin 100,000 times. Darwin Olympic won 75,465 of them (75.5%), the draw came up 12% of the time and Port Darwin won 12.5%. The most likely score is 3-1 (5.8%), and both teams score in 81.2% of simulations.

Darwin Olympic badge
Darwin Olympic Larrakia Park
2–1 Full time
Port Darwin badge
Port Darwin Away
75.5% 75,465 wins
12% Draw
12.5% 12,529 wins
Expected goals
4.01 – 1.78
Likeliest score
3-1 5.8%
Both score
81.2%
Over 2.5
92.2%

Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Darwin Olympic winning 75.5% and gave this exact score 4.5%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Larrakia Park, Darwin
Darwin Olympic vs Port Darwin live score, stats & lineups

Darwin Olympic vs Port Darwin in numbers 100,000 simulations · Northern Territory Premier League · Saturday 19 September, 09:30

Darwin Olympic vs Port Darwin simulation probabilities
Darwin Olympic win75.5%
Draw12%
Port Darwin win12.5%
Most likely score3-1 (5.8%)
Expected goals4.01 – 1.78
Both teams to score81.2%
Over 1.5 goals97.9%
Over 2.5 goals92.2%
Over 3.5 goals82%
Darwin Olympic score first68.3%
Port Darwin score first31.1%
Darwin Olympic clean sheet17.3%
Port Darwin clean sheet2.1%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

See the API Try it for 48 hours, £9.99 
GET /api/predictions/generate/420713634
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Darwin Olympic vs Port Darwin prediction FAQs

Who will win Darwin Olympic vs Port Darwin?

Darwin Olympic are favourites. They win 75.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 12% for the draw and 12.5% for Port Darwin. Including the draw, Darwin Olympic avoid defeat 87.5% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Darwin Olympic vs Port Darwin?

3-1, which came up in 5.8% of simulations. Next are 4-1 (5.7%) and 3-2 (5.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Darwin Olympic vs Port Darwin?

Both teams score in 81.2% of simulations. Darwin Olympic keep a clean sheet 17.3% of the time and Port Darwin 2.1%.

How many goals will there be in Darwin Olympic vs Port Darwin?

The simulations average 5.79 goals: 4.01 for Darwin Olympic and 1.78 for Port Darwin. Over 1.5 goals lands 97.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 92.2% and over 3.5 goals 82%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.