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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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UPDATE
Bet Builder Page Enhancements Live Now
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VIDEO
Predictions Show Episode Featuring Bet Builder
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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated DC United vs Charlotte 100,000 times. Charlotte won 38,045 of them (38%), the draw came up 25.4% of the time and DC United won 36.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.5%, while the likeliest Charlotte win is 1-2 (8.3%). Both teams score in 62.1% of simulations.
Full time 1-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Charlotte winning 38% and gave this exact score 8.3%.
| DC United win | 36.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.4% |
| Charlotte win | 38% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.53 – 1.56 |
| Both teams to score | 62.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.3% |
| DC United score first | 47.5% |
| Charlotte score first | 46.6% |
| DC United clean sheet | 21.3% |
| Charlotte clean sheet | 22.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510339 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Charlotte are favourites. They win 38% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.4% for the draw and 36.6% for DC United. Including the draw, Charlotte avoid defeat 63.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.5% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.3%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest Charlotte win is 1-2 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.1% of simulations. DC United keep a clean sheet 21.3% of the time and Charlotte 22.1%.
The simulations average 3.09 goals: 1.53 for DC United and 1.56 for Charlotte. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.5% and over 3.5 goals 37.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.