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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Defensores Unidos vs Argentino Quilmes 100,000 times. Defensores Unidos won 40,280 of them (40.3%), the draw came up 34.3% of the time and Argentino Quilmes won 25.4%. No single score is common: 0-0 is the likeliest at 16.5%, while the likeliest Defensores Unidos win is 1-0 (14.7%). Both teams score in 38.3% of simulations.
Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 34.3% and gave this exact score 14.5%.
| Defensores Unidos win | 40.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 34.3% |
| Argentino Quilmes win | 25.4% |
| Most likely score | 0-0 (16.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.10 – 0.81 |
| Both teams to score | 38.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 58.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 29.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 12.9% |
| Defensores Unidos score first | 44.1% |
| Argentino Quilmes score first | 39.2% |
| Defensores Unidos clean sheet | 44.5% |
| Argentino Quilmes clean sheet | 33.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420503711 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Defensores Unidos are favourites. They win 40.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 34.3% for the draw and 25.4% for Argentino Quilmes. Including the draw, Defensores Unidos avoid defeat 74.6% of the time.
0-0, which came up in 16.5% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (14.7%) and 1-1 (14.5%). The likeliest Defensores Unidos win is 1-0 (14.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 38.3% of simulations. Defensores Unidos keep a clean sheet 44.5% of the time and Argentino Quilmes 33.7%.
The simulations average 1.91 goals: 1.10 for Defensores Unidos and 0.81 for Argentino Quilmes. Over 1.5 goals lands 58.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 29.9% and over 3.5 goals 12.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.